What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 5%, implying a 5% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Argentina (-4.5)

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $274 Open interest $396.8K Event Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Not enough price history yet.

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 11 at 9:00 PM ET.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.