CHA Chagee Holdings Limited American Depositary Shares
XNASStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- Industry (SIC)
- RETAIL-EATING & DRINKING PLACES (5810) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $2.4B
- Employees
- 3,812
- List Date
- 2025-04-17
- CIK
- 0002013649
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-27
- EPS Forecast
- $0.34 (2 est.)
- Homepage
- https://www.chagee.com
Chagee Holdings Ltd is a premium tea drinks brand. It is engaged in the sales of freshly-made tea drinks, related raw materials, packaging, teahouse equipment, and other supplies in the People's Republic of China.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | -4.79% | -4.79% |
| Feb | -- | -4.79% | -4.79% |
| Mar | -- | -15.67% | -15.67% |
| Apr | 3.24% | 21.18% | 12.21% |
| May | -19.42% | 16.42% | -1.50% |
| Jun | -15.20% | -8.87% | -12.04% |
| Jul | -15.61% | -6.56% | -11.08% |
| Aug | -10.03% | 4.30% | -2.86% |
| Sep | -10.54% | -1.93% | -6.23% |
| Oct | -3.75% | 10.32%* | 3.29% |
| Nov | -1.51% | -- | -1.51% |
| Dec | -26.86% | -- | -26.86% |
| Total | -66.78% | 3.63% | -31.57% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: CHA
Executive Summary
Confidence Level: 6/10 Assessment: NEUTRAL
The stock is trading near its 200-day moving average, indicating a potential consolidation phase. Key drivers are the technical indicators, which suggest a bearish momentum. Primary risks include the overbought RSI and MACD signal line crossover.
Investment Thesis: CHA appears to be in a short-term downtrend, with a medium-term risk of further declines if the stock fails to break above its upper Bollinger Band. However, the stock's historical volatility and beta suggest it may not be as volatile as some other stocks in the same sector.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: No recent news headlines are available, which reduces the impact on our analysis. In a vacuum, we would focus on the technical indicators to inform our decision-making.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Downtrend (short-term), Consolidation (medium-term)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $9.25
- Middle Bollinger Band: $10.45
- Upper Bollinger Band: $11.65
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: 70.66 (overbought)
- MACD Signal Line Crossover: Bearish (0.02 / 0.11 / -0.09)
- Bollinger Bands: Overbought
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 570685.10
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -22575319.79 ( bearish )
- Volume Rate of Change: 358.74% (high)
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: No recent news headlines available
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral (no recent news)
Catalyst Identification: No upcoming events or earnings releases announced
Market Narrative: Technical signals suggest a bearish momentum, while the lack of recent news reduces the impact on our analysis.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: 0.97 (moderate risk relative to market)
Volatility Regime: Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Options Market Signals: No options data available
Downside Protection: Support levels include the lower and middle Bollinger Bands, while the upper Bollinger Band serves as resistance.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: CHA's sector is experiencing a moderate decline (-2% over the past week)
Institutional Activity: No unusual institutional activity detected
Correlation Analysis: CHA's correlation with the market (R-squared interpretation) suggests it may not be as volatile as some other stocks in the same sector.
Relative Valuation: CHA is trading near its lower Bollinger Band, which could suggest a potential buying opportunity if the stock breaks above this level.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band: $9.25 (support)
- Middle Bollinger Band: $10.45 (resistance)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Upper Bollinger Band: $11.65 (resistance)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No upcoming events or earnings releases announced
Risk Management: Consider setting stop-loss levels around the lower and middle Bollinger Bands, and position sizing considerations based on the stock's volatility.
Please note that this analysis is based solely on the provided data and does not take into account any external factors. The confidence level of 6/10 reflects the uncertainty surrounding the stock's short-term performance.
CHA Options Activity & IV Rank
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $9.7M | #1609 of 6285 | +710.3% | 13F | |
| Point72 Hedge fund Steve Cohen | $8.8M | #794 of 1945 | +4182.4% | 13F | |
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $6.2M | #1917 of 3716 | +1204.2% | 13F | |
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $273K | #2806 of 3138 | -91.6% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
CHA Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|
CHA Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-10-13| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | Hongfei Huang | Chief Financial Officer | Grant (A) | +675,464 opt | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-22 | Yi Wang | Director | Award (A) | +4,363 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-22 | Yifan (Frank) Li | Director | Award (A) | +4,363 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-18 | Taisu Zhang | Director | Award (A) | +4,363 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-19 | Mian Lu | Vice President | Award (A) | +33,726 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-19 | Chi Xu | Vice President | Award (A) | +21,089 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-19 | Dengfeng Yin | Chief Operating Officer | Award (A) | +89,394 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-19 | Wei Jen Hu | Vice President | Award (A) | +23,006 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-19 | Hongfei Huang | Chief Financial Officer | Award (A) | +32,208 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-06-25 | Dengfeng Yin | Chief Operating Officer | Exer (M) | +80,427 | $3.76 | $302.5K | EDGAR |
CHA Insider Holdings
8 insiders · @ $12.29| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dengfeng Yin | Chief Operating Officer | 4,089,394 | $50.26M | $0 | 2 | 2026-08-19 |
| 2 | Hongfei Huang | Chief Financial Officer | 70,568 | $867.3K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-19 |
| 3 | Mian Lu | Vice President | 33,726 | $414.5K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-19 |
| 4 | Wei Jen Hu | Vice President | 23,006 | $282.7K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-19 |
| 5 | Chi Xu | Vice President | 21,089 | $259.2K | $0 | 1 | 2026-08-19 |
| 6 | Taisu Zhang | Director | 4,363 | $53.6K | $0 | 1 | 2026-09-18 |
| 7 | Yi Wang | Director | 4,363 | $53.6K | $0 | 1 | 2026-09-22 |
| 8 | Yifan (Frank) Li | Director | 4,363 | $53.6K | $0 | 1 | 2026-09-22 |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MNVT Moonvest ETF | Nport | 4.57% | $3.2M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 2 | PGJ Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF | Invesco | 0.80% | $668,979 | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 3 | ONEQ Fidelity Nasdaq Composite Index ETF | Fidelity | 0.01% | $571,663 | $11.1B | 2026-10-12 |
| 4 | APIE ActivePassive International Equity ETF | Nport | 0.03% | $263,417 | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 5 | EWX State Street® SPDR® S&P® Emerging Markets Small Cap ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.02% | $148,428 | $669.9M | 2026-10-12 |
| 6 | BSMR Invesco BulletShares 2027 Municipal Bond ETF | Invesco | 0.04% | $141,672 | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 7 | BSMS Invesco BulletShares 2028 Municipal Bond ETF | Invesco | 0.02% | $56,514 | — | 2026-10-12 |
| 8 | EMCR Xtrackers Emerging Markets Carbon Reduction and Climate Improvers ETF | Nport | 0.01% | $6,035 | — | 2026-05-29 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.