polymarket Politics

Iran Nuke before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

1 outcomes · Closes Dec 31, 2026 · 24h volume $6.4K

Outcomes & current odds

Iran Nuke before 2027?
8%
$6.4K

How this event resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Summary

SourcePolymarket
Outcomes1
Total 24h volume$6.4K
ClosesDec 31, 2026
Leader
8% YES