| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? |
polymarket |
0% |
$1.1M |
Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
polymarket |
24% |
$621.8K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
polymarket |
68% |
$463.9K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
1% |
$351.3K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
polymarket |
0% |
$249.0K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
polymarket |
44% |
$242.3K |
Nov 03, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? |
polymarket |
0% |
$238.3K |
May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
2% |
$209.5K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
60% |
$202.0K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
polymarket |
0% |
$200.8K |
Jun 01, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
polymarket |
8% |
$189.9K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
polymarket |
1% |
$161.5K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$152.2K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
polymarket |
0% |
$148.7K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
2% |
$139.4K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
polymarket |
0% |
$133.8K |
Jul 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by July 31? |
polymarket |
0% |
$131.6K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
38% |
$118.2K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
polymarket |
24% |
$113.2K |
May 31, 2026 |
| Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027? |
kalshi |
7% |
107.0K |
Jan 04, 2027 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
1% |
$100.5K |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$92.8K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
39% |
$91.3K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$88.7K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
polymarket |
6% |
$86.9K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$82.8K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
polymarket |
16% |
$82.7K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? |
polymarket |
98% |
$80.1K |
Aug 13, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? |
polymarket |
29% |
$76.9K |
May 31, 2026 |
| Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$68.5K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? |
polymarket |
0% |
$68.2K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? |
polymarket |
8% |
$67.3K |
Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
93% |
$66.3K |
Dec 31, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
polymarket |
44% |
$63.6K |
Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
8% |
$63.2K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
polymarket |
84% |
$62.7K |
Aug 04, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
polymarket |
5% |
$62.2K |
Aug 31, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
polymarket |
4% |
$61.9K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$61.7K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
66% |
$60.1K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
polymarket |
82% |
$57.5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$57.0K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
polymarket |
4% |
$56.2K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
polymarket |
12% |
$56.1K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
polymarket |
46% |
$55.8K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Sep 1, 2026? |
kalshi |
4% |
53.9K |
Sep 01, 2026 |
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$53.3K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
polymarket |
12% |
$52.4K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? |
polymarket |
16% |
$51.2K |
Aug 04, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
polymarket |
66% |
$50.3K |
Aug 11, 2026 |