| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
12% |
$6.6M |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
1% |
$4.7M |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
88% |
$4.4M |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$4.3M |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$1.3M |
Sep 16, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
polymarket |
76% |
$521.2K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? |
polymarket |
100% |
$501.0K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
polymarket |
16% |
$337.8K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
polymarket |
16% |
$288.6K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Jan 1, 2027? |
kalshi |
6% |
252.1K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027? |
kalshi |
7% |
193.9K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
polymarket |
21% |
$183.5K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
polymarket |
4% |
$165.0K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$158.0K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
polymarket |
88% |
$148.5K |
Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? |
polymarket |
0% |
$147.9K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
polymarket |
100% |
$140.3K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
polymarket |
1% |
$131.3K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
62% |
$131.2K |
Oct 28, 2026 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
polymarket |
0% |
$128.4K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$113.5K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
55% |
$104.1K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$103.4K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? |
polymarket |
5% |
$103.3K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Oct 1, 2026? |
kalshi |
0% |
102.7K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
polymarket |
4% |
$98.1K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$94.0K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30? |
polymarket |
98% |
$92.6K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will a crypto market structure bill becomes law before Nov 1, 2026? |
kalshi |
2% |
91.2K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
polymarket |
1% |
$90.9K |
Sep 30, 2026 |
| Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
polymarket |
0% |
$89.9K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
20% |
$82.5K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
polymarket |
1% |
$79.2K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
44% |
$78.2K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
polymarket |
3% |
$76.8K |
Sep 20, 2026 |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary of United States? |
kalshi |
20% |
76.5K |
Jan 21, 2029 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? |
polymarket |
77% |
$73.5K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Mitch McConnell resign his office early? |
kalshi |
6% |
70.5K |
Nov 03, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
polymarket |
3% |
$70.4K |
Oct 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
1% |
$69.9K |
Oct 28, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
28% |
$68.5K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
polymarket |
5% |
$66.0K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 2027? |
kalshi |
45% |
64.8K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
14% |
$62.1K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
polymarket |
0% |
$60.4K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
polymarket |
18% |
$57.2K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? |
polymarket |
44% |
$57.2K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
polymarket |
0% |
$56.5K |
Nov 07, 2028 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
polymarket |
76% |
$54.4K |
Oct 04, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
36% |
$53.6K |
Oct 28, 2026 |