| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$17.5M |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
100% |
$7.5M |
Jun 17, 2026 |
| US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$5.9M |
Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? |
polymarket |
0% |
$4.9M |
Jun 01, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$3.9M |
Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$3.7M |
Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$2.4M |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$2.3M |
Jun 17, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? |
polymarket |
0% |
$1.2M |
— |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? |
polymarket |
52% |
$680.2K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$675.3K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? |
polymarket |
3% |
$400.9K |
Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$389.6K |
Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? |
kalshi |
8% |
371.6K |
Jul 01, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? |
polymarket |
14% |
$368.5K |
Dec 31, 2027 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$333.0K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? |
polymarket |
1% |
$322.8K |
Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? |
polymarket |
19% |
$321.5K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? |
polymarket |
100% |
$300.4K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? |
polymarket |
1% |
$296.8K |
Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
0% |
$286.5K |
Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$252.2K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
96% |
$243.3K |
Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? |
polymarket |
38% |
$215.0K |
Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? |
polymarket |
13% |
$214.0K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? |
polymarket |
70% |
$202.4K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? |
polymarket |
1% |
$200.4K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
4% |
$197.8K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? |
polymarket |
11% |
$196.4K |
Jul 01, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? |
polymarket |
5% |
$180.4K |
May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$176.2K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
polymarket |
7% |
$172.3K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
4% |
$171.0K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
polymarket |
56% |
$170.2K |
Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026? |
polymarket |
6% |
$169.8K |
Apr 30, 2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? |
polymarket |
0% |
$166.2K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? |
polymarket |
82% |
$155.2K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
4% |
$149.8K |
Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? |
polymarket |
94% |
$145.0K |
Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? |
polymarket |
0% |
$144.1K |
Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? |
polymarket |
86% |
$130.3K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? |
polymarket |
3% |
$122.2K |
Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? |
polymarket |
11% |
$120.4K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? |
polymarket |
6% |
$119.6K |
Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
polymarket |
12% |
$117.3K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country? |
polymarket |
0% |
$116.4K |
Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026? |
kalshi |
14% |
113.9K |
Jul 07, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? |
polymarket |
98% |
$112.1K |
Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? |
polymarket |
94% |
$106.3K |
Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
polymarket |
90% |
$104.5K |
Dec 31, 2026 |