| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? |
polymarket |
3% |
$2.1K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? |
polymarket |
76% |
$1.3K |
Jul 30, 2026 |
| 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? |
polymarket |
4% |
$1.0K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
39% |
$896 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? |
polymarket |
52% |
$806 |
Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
82% |
$632 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026? |
polymarket |
59% |
$589 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
14% |
$441 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
19% |
$358 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
2% |
$286 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
4% |
$261 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
1% |
$236 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
28% |
$182 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
28% |
$181 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? |
polymarket |
4% |
$167 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
3% |
$153 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? |
polymarket |
3% |
$145 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? |
polymarket |
67% |
$106 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? |
polymarket |
24% |
$56 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? |
polymarket |
5% |
$52 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal? |
polymarket |
50% |
$33 |
Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026? |
polymarket |
5% |
$14 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? |
polymarket |
26% |
$10 |
Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? |
polymarket |
4% |
$10 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
9% |
$6 |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
8% |
— |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
— |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
— |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
— |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
polymarket |
14% |
— |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? |
polymarket |
0% |
— |
Dec 31, 2026 |