Economics Prediction Markets

Macro-event prediction markets: Fed meetings, CPI, jobless claims, GDP, and yield-curve resolutions, with FedWatch and options-implied comparisons.

50 active markets · $7.7M 24h volume · Updated Jun 17 03:30 UTC

Top markets — Economics

MarketSourceYES 24h volCloses
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting? kalshi 100% 2.9M Jun 17, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 1.6M Jun 17, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? polymarket 18% $592.2K Jun 30, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? polymarket 100% $342.1K Jun 30, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their June 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 287.8K Jun 17, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? polymarket 0% $226.5K Jun 15, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their June 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 222.0K Jun 17, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? polymarket 30% $162.1K Jun 30, 2026
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 116.7K Jun 17, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting? kalshi 2% 102.4K Jul 29, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting? kalshi 90% 94.4K Jul 29, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting? kalshi 6% 82.8K Jul 29, 2026
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1300 billion dollars before 2027? kalshi 96% 68.6K Jan 01, 2027
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2026 meeting? kalshi 2% 63.3K Jul 29, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? polymarket 0% $52.8K Jun 30, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? polymarket 1% $50.4K Jun 30, 2026
Fed rate hike in 2026? polymarket 34% $45.6K Dec 09, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their June 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 45.5K Jun 17, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? polymarket 3% $45.2K Jun 30, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? polymarket 1% $43.8K Jun 30, 2026
Will there be a recession in 2026? kalshi 12% 41.8K Jan 31, 2027
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? polymarket 83% $36.0K Jun 30, 2026
Will Musk have a net worth more than 1400 billion dollars before 2027? kalshi 86% 32.1K Jan 01, 2027
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? polymarket 1% $30.5K Jun 30, 2026
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.030? kalshi 6% 28.6K Jun 17, 2026
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.025? kalshi 25% 24.9K Jun 17, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? polymarket 1% $24.6K Jun 30, 2026
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? kalshi 4% 24.4K Jul 14, 2026
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.020? kalshi 66% 24.3K Jun 17, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? polymarket 4% $21.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.0% for the year ending in June 2026? kalshi 8% 19.9K Jul 14, 2026
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting? kalshi 100% 19.7K Jun 17, 2026
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? kalshi 68% 19.6K Jan 01, 2027
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? polymarket 1% $18.7K Jun 30, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026? kalshi 36% 18.2K Jan 01, 2027
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 4.1% for the year ending in June 2026? kalshi 4% 17.6K Jul 14, 2026
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jun 17, 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 17.2K Jun 17, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? kalshi 30% 16.5K Jan 01, 2027
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? polymarket 1% $15.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026? kalshi 12% 14.9K Jan 01, 2027
Will Elon Musk's net worth for June be above $790 billion? kalshi 98% 14.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? polymarket 1% $13.7K Jun 30, 2026
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? polymarket 1% $13.7K Jun 30, 2026
CPI year-over-year in Jun 2026? kalshi 18% 13.5K Jul 14, 2026
Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? kalshi 19% 12.9K Jan 01, 2027
Will CPI rise more than -0.1% in June 2026? kalshi 36% 12.9K Jul 14, 2026
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30? kalshi 2% 12.6K Jun 30, 2026
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00? kalshi 4% 12.0K Jun 30, 2026
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.9% for the year ending in June 2026? kalshi 16% 11.9K Jul 14, 2026
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14? polymarket 94% $11.8K Jun 14, 2026

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