Economics Prediction Markets

Macro-event prediction markets: Fed meetings, CPI, jobless claims, GDP, and yield-curve resolutions, with FedWatch and options-implied comparisons.

50 active markets · $15.3M 24h volume · Updated

Top markets — Economics

MarketSourceYES 24h volCloses
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting? kalshi 12% 7.2M Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? kalshi 86% 2.2M Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting? kalshi 1% 2.2M Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? kalshi 1% 1.6M Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2026 meeting? kalshi 0% 702.7K Sep 16, 2026
Fed rate hike in 2026? polymarket 96% $308.5K Dec 09, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026? kalshi 94% 211.2K Jan 01, 2027
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? kalshi 1% 154.5K Sep 16, 2026
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting? kalshi 87% 85.6K Sep 16, 2026
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? polymarket 16% $77.0K Jan 01, 2027
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? kalshi 36% 54.3K Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? kalshi 62% 47.4K Oct 28, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting? kalshi 2% 31.6K Dec 09, 2026
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? polymarket 30% $26.0K Jan 01, 2027
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? kalshi 38% 24.4K Oct 28, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting? kalshi 2% 22.8K Oct 28, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by June 30, 2027? kalshi 96% 18.2K Jul 01, 2027
Will there be a recession in 2026? kalshi 10% 16.9K Jan 31, 2027
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? kalshi 10% 15.7K Sep 16, 2026
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? kalshi 25% 14.0K Sep 16, 2026
Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? kalshi 7% 13.8K Jan 01, 2027
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? kalshi 20% 13.1K Sep 16, 2026
Will Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be 0 for Sep 2026? kalshi 0% 12.7K Sep 16, 2026
Will there be a recession in 2027? kalshi 24% 11.8K Jan 31, 2028
Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? kalshi 91% 11.3K Jan 01, 2027
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? kalshi 4% 10.5K Sep 16, 2026
Will Federal Funds Rate Decision be 25bp hike AND Dissents be 0 for Sep 2026? kalshi 31% 10.5K Sep 16, 2026
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting? kalshi 6% 10.2K Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting? kalshi 2% 10.2K Oct 28, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2026 meeting? kalshi 34% 8.9K Dec 09, 2026
Who will dissent at the September 2026 FOMC meeting? kalshi 2% 8.7K Sep 16, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027? kalshi 8% 8.6K Jan 01, 2027
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 30, 2026? polymarket 4% $8.1K Oct 01, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? kalshi 62% 7.8K Dec 09, 2026
Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? kalshi 1% 7.8K Jan 01, 2027
Will average gas prices be above $4.2800? kalshi 98% 7.5K Sep 21, 2026
Will Maine commercial lobster landings for 2026 be above 85 million pounds? kalshi 12% 7.2K Mar 31, 2027
Will Headline be 0.2% or below AND Core be 0.3% or above for Sep 2026? kalshi 0% 7.2K Oct 14, 2026
Will Headline be Exactly 0.3% AND Core be 0.1% or below for Sep 2026? kalshi 0% 7.1K Oct 14, 2026
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026? kalshi 66% 6.9K Oct 14, 2026
Will the Bank of Japan Hike more than 25bps at the September 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting? kalshi 2% 6.6K Sep 18, 2026
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? kalshi 2% 6.2K Dec 09, 2026
Will Federal Funds Rate Decision be No change AND Dissents be >0 for Sep 2026? kalshi 12% 5.9K Sep 16, 2026
Will average gas prices be above $4.2000? kalshi 99% 5.8K Sep 21, 2026
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.1% for the year ending in September 2026? kalshi 98% 5.7K Oct 14, 2026
Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? polymarket 38% $5.6K Sep 16, 2026
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 5.0% for the year ending in September 2026? kalshi 0% 5.6K Oct 14, 2026
Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in September 2026? kalshi 98% 5.5K Oct 14, 2026
Will Diesel Price on September 21, 2026 be above $6.42? kalshi 84% 5.5K Sep 21, 2026
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? polymarket 64% $5.5K Oct 29, 2026

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