What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 98%, implying a 98% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: US gas prices this week Gas prices

chance of YES98% +3.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

84–98%

24h volume

44.0K

$1 contracts

Open interest

43.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

97¢ / 98¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 97.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 11:57 PM ET	YES	98¢	1,127	$1K
Oct 30, 11:57 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,811	$2K
Oct 30, 10:54 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,500	$1K
Oct 30, 8:37 PM ET	YES	98¢	2,209	$2K
Oct 30, 8:23 PM ET	YES	97¢	1,339	$1K
Oct 30, 7:40 PM ET	YES	97¢	5,156	$5K
Oct 30, 6:29 PM ET	YES	96¢	3,041	$3K
Oct 30, 6:05 PM ET	YES	96¢	3,252	$3K
Oct 30, 5:49 PM ET	YES	94¢	2,698	$3K
Oct 30, 1:44 PM ET	YES	84¢	4,990	$4K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.