What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 02, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: US gas prices this week Gas prices

chance of YES14% -10.5pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

9–80%

24h volume

62.7K

$1 contracts

Open interest

76.9K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

15¢ / 16¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 15.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 31, 6:56 AM ET	NO	85¢	1,655	$1K
Oct 31, 4:45 AM ET	NO	93¢	2,722	$3K
Oct 30, 11:58 PM ET	NO	91¢	1,360	$1K
Oct 30, 10:50 PM ET	NO	87¢	2,383	$2K
Oct 30, 8:06 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,034	$3K
Oct 30, 7:40 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,084	$3K
Oct 30, 6:32 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,538	$4K
Oct 30, 6:05 PM ET	NO	94¢	2,117	$2K
Oct 30, 5:51 PM ET	NO	91¢	1,137	$1K
Oct 30, 5:49 PM ET	NO	89¢	2,244	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.