US gas prices this week
50/50 line50%Above 4.1700
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Market median
4.17
Biggest 24h move-8 pts
16%
24h volume
$213K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 4.1400
100%
+1
Above 4.1000
99%
Above 4.1200
99%
Above 4.1500
99%
Above 4.1600
98%
+4
Above 4.1700
50%
Above 4.1800
16%
-8
Above 4.1900
6%
Above 4.2400
2%
Above 4.3200
2%
Above 4.3000
2%
Above 4.2000
2%
-2
Above 4.2200
2%
Above 4.2600
2%
+ 2 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 4.17Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 4.1800YES $5K · NO $43K · 25 orders · biggest $4K
- Above 4.2000YES $0 · NO $48K · 18 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 4.1600YES $44K · NO $0 · 17 orders · biggest $5K
- Above 4.1400YES $29K · NO $1K · 10 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 4.1200YES $28K · NO $2K · 10 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 4.2200YES $0 · NO $29K · 12 orders · biggest $6K
- Above 4.2400YES $0 · NO $23K · 8 orders · biggest $9K
- Above 4.3400YES $0 · NO $18K · 5 orders · biggest $5K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.1800 | NO | 93¢ | $3K | |
| Above 4.3400 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.1800 | NO | 91¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.1600 | YES | 98¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.1600 | YES | 97¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.1600 | YES | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.1800 | NO | 87¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.1600 | YES | 98¢ | $2K | |
| Above 4.1600 | YES | 97¢ | $1K | |
| Above 4.1800 | NO | 99¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
16| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 4.1400 | 100% | +1.0 | $5K | $33K |
| Above 4.1000 | 99% | — | $1K | $10K |
| Above 4.1200 | 99% | — | $2K | $30K |
| Above 4.1500 | 99% | — | $4K | $3K |
| Above 4.1600 | 98% | +3.5 | $44K | $44K |
| Above 4.1700 | 50% | — | $21K | $20K |
| Above 4.1800 | 16% | -8.5 | $63K | $77K |
| Above 4.1900 | 6% | — | $18K | $10K |
| Above 4.2400 | 2% | +0.5 | $2K | $27K |
| Above 4.3200 | 2% | — | $2K | $9K |
| Above 4.3000 | 2% | — | $4K | $16K |
| Above 4.2000 | 2% | -2.5 | $22K | $66K |
| Above 4.2200 | 2% | — | $12K | $50K |
| Above 4.2600 | 2% | — | $1 | $6K |
| Above 4.3600 | 0% | — | $9K | $8K |
| Above 4.3400 | 0% | — | $4K | $14K |