30-year mortgage rate this week
50/50 line40%Above 7.16%
Line nearest 50/50
40%
Market median
7.16%
Biggest 24h move-26 pts
10%
24h volume
$12K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove 7.16%
40%
+6
Above 7.17%
31%
-24
Above 7.18%
28%
-16
Above 7.19%
10%
-26
Above 7.20%
8%
Above 7.21%
6%
Above 7.22%
4%
-35
Above 7.23%
4%
-9
Above 7.24%
2%
-7
Above 7.25%
2%
-4
Above 7.26%
2%
Above 7.27%
2%
-10
Above 7.30%
0%
-2
Above 7.29%
0%
+ 1 more in the table below.
What the market expects
median 7.16%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · hourlyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 7.29%YES $0 · NO $5K · 1 orders · biggest $5K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.29% | NO | 99¢ | $5K |
All outcomes
15| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 7.16% | 40% | +5.5 | $249 | $236 |
| Above 7.17% | 31% | -24.0 | $671 | $466 |
| Above 7.18% | 28% | -16.5 | $1K | $2K |
| Above 7.19% | 10% | -26.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Above 7.20% | 8% | — | $224 | $224 |
| Above 7.21% | 6% | — | $111 | $111 |
| Above 7.22% | 4% | -35.0 | $386 | $436 |
| Above 7.23% | 4% | -9.0 | $329 | $380 |
| Above 7.24% | 2% | -7.0 | $310 | $295 |
| Above 7.25% | 2% | -4.0 | $272 | $280 |
| Above 7.26% | 2% | — | $2 | $2 |
| Above 7.27% | 2% | -10.0 | $1 | $1 |
| Above 7.30% | 0% | -2.0 | $1K | $1K |
| Above 7.29% | 0% | — | $6K | $6K |
| Above 7.28% | 0% | -4.0 | $1K | $1K |