What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 05, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 05, 2026 (5d) All outcomes: 30-year mortgage rate this week

chance of YES40% +5.5pp in 24h

Price range (31h)

16–59%

24h volume

249

$1 contracts

Open interest

236

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

hourly, 31h

Line: hourly closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.