World Prediction Markets

Geopolitical event markets — ceasefires, treaties, sanctions, foreign elections, and regional conflict outcomes.

50 active markets · $3.3M 24h volume · Updated Jun 17 03:30 UTC

Top markets — World

MarketSourceYES 24h volCloses
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? polymarket 3% $505.3K May 31, 2026
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? polymarket 13% $370.3K May 31, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? polymarket 3% $305.4K Jun 30, 2026
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? polymarket 19% $289.9K May 31, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? polymarket 1% $236.6K Jun 30, 2026
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? polymarket 12% $100.8K Jun 30, 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? polymarket 0% $93.4K Jun 30, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? polymarket 10% $82.9K Dec 31, 2026
US strike on Cuba by December 31? polymarket 54% $63.3K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 2% $59.9K Oct 04, 2026
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? polymarket 8% $59.1K
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 15% $47.2K Oct 04, 2026
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 0% $46.1K Oct 04, 2026
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 1% $43.5K Oct 04, 2026
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? polymarket 0% $41.3K Dec 31, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? polymarket 1% $37.8K Mar 31, 2026
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? polymarket 84% $37.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 0% $36.7K Oct 04, 2026
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? polymarket 57% $35.0K Sep 20, 2026
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? polymarket 10% $34.7K Dec 31, 2026
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? polymarket 0% $34.2K Dec 31, 2026
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? polymarket 26% $33.2K May 31, 2026
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 0% $33.0K Oct 04, 2026
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 0% $32.9K Oct 04, 2026
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? polymarket 6% $32.3K Dec 31, 2026
Iran coup attempt by June 30? polymarket 1% $31.2K Jun 30, 2026
Netanyahu out by June 30? polymarket 1% $30.6K Dec 31, 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027? polymarket 7% $30.6K Dec 31, 2026
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? polymarket 0% $28.0K Dec 31, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24? polymarket 0% $26.2K Mar 31, 2026
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $26.0K Apr 30, 2027
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? polymarket 14% $25.9K
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $25.0K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $24.1K Apr 30, 2027
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $23.9K Apr 30, 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? polymarket 0% $23.9K Jun 30, 2026
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? polymarket 1% $23.8K Jun 30, 2026
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $23.7K Apr 30, 2027
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 1% $23.3K Oct 04, 2026
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $22.9K Apr 30, 2027
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $22.8K Apr 30, 2027
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $22.3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? polymarket 3% $22.2K Dec 31, 2026
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $22.0K Apr 30, 2027
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $21.7K Apr 30, 2027
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $21.6K Apr 30, 2027
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 0% $21.5K Oct 04, 2026
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? polymarket 24% $21.4K Oct 04, 2026
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $21.3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $20.8K Apr 30, 2027

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