World Prediction Markets

Geopolitical event markets — ceasefires, treaties, sanctions, foreign elections, and regional conflict outcomes.

50 active markets · $1.7M 24h volume · Updated

Top markets — World

MarketSourceYES 24h volCloses
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $269.9K Apr 30, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? polymarket 86% $145.5K Dec 31, 2026
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? polymarket 6% $123.9K Jan 01, 2027
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $86.9K Apr 30, 2027
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? polymarket 12% $73.9K Jan 01, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? polymarket 76% $54.1K Dec 31, 2026
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? polymarket 24% $49.8K Jan 01, 2027
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 36% $43.5K Apr 30, 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027? polymarket 4% $43.4K Jan 01, 2027
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 12% $43.2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 2% $43.2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? polymarket 88% $42.3K Sep 13, 2026
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? polymarket 66% $41.0K Sep 20, 2026
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $37.6K Apr 30, 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? polymarket 12% $36.0K Jan 01, 2027
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? polymarket 22% $32.4K Sep 20, 2026
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 5% $26.2K Apr 30, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? polymarket 68% $24.7K Dec 31, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? polymarket 6% $24.4K Jan 01, 2027
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? polymarket 10% $24.3K Sep 13, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? polymarket 8% $22.5K Jan 01, 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? polymarket 6% $22.0K Jul 01, 2027
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? polymarket 0% $21.8K Sep 20, 2026
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 2% $20.6K Apr 30, 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? polymarket 26% $19.4K Jan 01, 2027
Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? polymarket 43% $19.2K Jan 01, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? polymarket 100% $18.3K Dec 31, 2026
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? polymarket 86% $17.6K Sep 20, 2026
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? polymarket 0% $17.4K Jan 01, 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? polymarket 62% $17.1K Dec 31, 2026
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? polymarket 54% $17.0K Jan 01, 2027
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? polymarket 79% $16.8K Sep 20, 2026
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $16.6K Apr 30, 2027
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? polymarket 0% $15.9K Sep 13, 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? polymarket 4% $15.2K Jan 01, 2027
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 2% $14.1K Apr 30, 2027
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $14.1K Apr 30, 2027
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $13.9K Apr 30, 2027
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 26% $13.7K Apr 30, 2027
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 1% $13.1K Apr 30, 2027
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 7% $13.1K Apr 30, 2027
Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? polymarket 6% $12.9K Sep 30, 2026
Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $12.8K Apr 30, 2027
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? polymarket 7% $12.4K Sep 20, 2026
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $12.3K Apr 30, 2027
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $12.2K Apr 30, 2027
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? polymarket 0% $11.1K Sep 13, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? polymarket 1% $10.2K Jan 01, 2027
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? polymarket 26% $9.9K Sep 20, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? polymarket 7% $9.7K Jan 01, 2027

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