World Prediction Markets

Geopolitical event markets — ceasefires, treaties, sanctions, foreign elections, and regional conflict outcomes.

50 active markets · $4.3M 24h volume · Updated

Top markets — World

MarketSourceYES 24h volCloses
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? polymarket 76% $730.6K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? polymarket 100% $647.4K Aug 31, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? polymarket 8% $529.9K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? polymarket 91% $464.8K Aug 31, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? polymarket 4% $192.4K Mar 31, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? polymarket 0% $137.1K Mar 31, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by July 31? polymarket 0% $136.5K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? polymarket 40% $135.4K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? polymarket 48% $122.5K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? polymarket 54% $98.3K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? polymarket 66% $91.9K Aug 31, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? polymarket 33% $90.4K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29? polymarket 100% $86.1K Aug 31, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? polymarket 32% $66.6K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30? polymarket 100% $54.1K Aug 31, 2026
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? polymarket 6% $49.8K Dec 31, 2026
Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by August 31? polymarket 7% $46.0K Oct 31, 2026
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? polymarket 38% $44.9K Aug 31, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? polymarket 8% $43.8K Dec 31, 2026
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? polymarket 3% $41.5K Aug 31, 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? polymarket 60% $40.6K Aug 31, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? polymarket 6% $39.6K Mar 31, 2026
Netanyahu out by July 31? polymarket 0% $38.8K Dec 31, 2026
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? polymarket 48% $32.3K Aug 31, 2026
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? polymarket 8% $29.4K Dec 31, 2026
US strike on Cuba by December 31? polymarket 24% $27.3K Dec 31, 2026
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? polymarket 8% $26.4K Dec 31, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? polymarket 4% $25.1K Aug 31, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? polymarket 26% $21.0K Dec 31, 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? polymarket 2% $20.4K Aug 31, 2026
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? polymarket 40% $20.4K Aug 31, 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? polymarket 8% $18.3K Dec 31, 2026
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? polymarket 12% $16.0K Dec 31, 2026
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? polymarket 8% $15.2K Dec 31, 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027? polymarket 5% $13.3K Dec 31, 2026
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? polymarket 6% $12.8K Sep 30, 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? polymarket 14% $12.7K Mar 31, 2026
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? polymarket 0% $12.7K Aug 31, 2026
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? polymarket 4% $11.5K Sep 30, 2026
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? polymarket 0% $11.1K Jul 31, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? polymarket 4% $10.7K Dec 31, 2026
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? polymarket 77% $10.5K Dec 31, 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? polymarket 24% $9.7K Apr 30, 2026
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? polymarket 3% $9.0K Sep 13, 2026
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? polymarket 0% $8.9K Apr 30, 2027
China x Japan military clash before 2027? polymarket 9% $7.2K Dec 31, 2026
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? polymarket 10% $7.1K Dec 31, 2025
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? polymarket 8% $6.8K Aug 31, 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? polymarket 4% $6.8K Apr 30, 2026
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? polymarket 6% $6.7K Jul 31, 2026

Other categories

Politics Crypto Economics Sports Weather Technology Science Finance Pop Culture Entertainment Gaming Health Business