World prediction markets
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Live events
138
24h volume
$2.6M
Biggest 24h move-19 pts
24%
Largest order flow (3d)
—% YES
128 outcomes · $1.3M 24hP
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen41%
5 outcomes · $26K 24hP
Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
24%+80%
36 outcomes · $12K 24hP
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson70%
Most traded events
24h volumeBlue: Kalshi (volume in $1 contracts). Purple: Polymarket. Click a bar to open the event.
Biggest movers
all 24h swings →Markets with $2K+ traded, excluding new listings and contracts about to settle.
All world events
top 60 by volume| Event | Favorite / 50-50 line | Odds | 24h move | 24h vol | Settles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next French Presidential Election P 128 outcomes |
Marine Le Pen | 41% | -4 | $1.3M | 2027-04-19 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? P 42 outcomes |
≈ November 30 | 52% | +4 | $326K | 2026-12-31 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? P 9 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 14% | +4 | $130K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 6% | — | $99K | 2027-01-01 |
| Which parties will be in the next Israeli government? P 15 outcomes |
≈ Yashar | 48% | -14 | $35K | 2027-06-30 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by...? P 8 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 16% | -3 | $32K | 2027-01-03 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 3% | — | $31K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 2% | — | $30K | 2027-01-01 |
| Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout P 5 outcomes |
24%+ | 80% | +16 | $26K | 2026-11-02 |
| Next Israeli government formed by...? P 4 outcomes |
≈ February 28, 2027 | 43% | -19 | $25K | 2027-07-01 |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...? P 2 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 26% | +2 | $25K | 2027-01-01 |
| France declares state of emergency by...? P 3 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 8% | — | $23K | 2027-01-01 |
| Israel Election: Arab party disqualified? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 3% | — | $20K | 2026-11-30 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? P 7 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 4% | — | $18K | 2027-01-01 |
| Israeli Knesset election annulled? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 6% | — | $17K | 2027-01-01 |
| Iran full airspace closure by...? P 12 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 36% | -4 | $14K | 2027-01-01 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 3% | — | $14K | 2027-01-01 |
| Next Prime Minister of Sweden P 36 outcomes |
Magdalena Andersson | 70% | +3 | $12K | 2027-07-01 |
| Will Russia capture Vodianske by...? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 99% | — | $12K | 2027-01-01 |
| Spain General Election Winner P 3 outcomes |
PP | 84% | +1 | $12K | 2026-11-30 |
| Iran leader end of 2026? P 123 outcomes |
Mojtaba Khamenei | 86% | — | $12K | 2026-12-31 |
| Netanyahu out by...? P 8 outcomes |
June 30, 2027 | 32% | -7 | $7K | 2027-01-01 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 3% | — | $6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...? P 2 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 6% | — | $6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 38% | -4 | $6K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 37% | +10 | $5K | 2027-01-01 |
| France declares state of siege (martial law) by...? P 3 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 4% | — | $5K | 2027-01-01 |
| Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? P 13 outcomes |
No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 50% | -2 | $5K | 2027-03-01 |
| Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028? P 2 outcomes |
≈ No Next Chancellor before 2028 | 67% | +4 | $5K | 2028-01-01 |
| Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place? P 9 outcomes |
UAE | 68% | -2 | $4K | 2028-01-01 |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...? P 4 outcomes |
March 31, 2027 | 50% | +3 | $4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 8% | — | $4K | 2027-01-01 |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 20% | +2 | $4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 6% | — | $4K | 2027-01-01 |
| French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place P 12 outcomes |
Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 36% | — | $4K | 2027-04-18 |
| Which cities will Russia enter by December 31? P 8 outcomes |
≈ Druzkhivka | 24% | — | $4K | 2027-01-01 |
| Next Israeli Minister of National Security? P 8 outcomes |
No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 54% | -4 | $4K | 2027-03-01 |
| Next Israeli Minister of Finance? P 14 outcomes |
No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 55% | +2 | $3K | 2027-03-01 |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...? P 2 outcomes |
December 31 | 76% | +6 | $3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Next Israeli Minister of Justice? P 7 outcomes |
No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 55% | +6 | $3K | 2027-03-01 |
| Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...? P 3 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 7% | — | $3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...? P 2 outcomes |
≈ November 30 | 32% | +4 | $3K | 2027-01-01 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 4% | — | $3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027 P 12 outcomes |
Yulia Navalnaya | 12% | — | $3K | 2028-04-01 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 5% | — | $3K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 13% | — | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 28% | -3 | $2K | 2028-01-01 |
| Israel military action against Beirut by...? P 2 outcomes |
≈ November 30 | 14% | — | $2K | 2026-12-01 |
| Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31? P 16 outcomes |
≈ Venezuela | 14% | — | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...? P 2 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 10% | — | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Annual Return: Gold vs. Silver K 2 outcomes |
Gold | 85% | +8 | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Who will visit Ukraine by December 31? P 16 outcomes |
≈ Mark Rutte | 52% | — | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...? P 5 outcomes |
≈ March 31, 2027 | 37% | -1 | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 60% | +42 | $2K | 2026-12-31 |
| Israel military action against Syria by...? P 3 outcomes |
November 30 | 52% | — | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Brazil presidential election annulled? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 4% | — | $2K | 2027-01-01 |
| Next Israeli Minister of Defense? P 9 outcomes |
No Next Minister by Feb 28 | 49% | — | $2K | 2027-03-01 |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) P 4 outcomes |
December 31 | 48% | — | $1K | 2027-01-01 |
| Russia military action against EU country by...? P 1 outcome |
Yes | 9% | +2 | $1K | 2028-01-01 |
| European military action against Iran by...? P 2 outcomes |
≈ December 31 | 21% | — | $1K | 2026-12-31 |
Settling in the next two weeks
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?· ≈ October 11 52%
- Will Russia capture Svitle by...?· ≈ October 31 98%
- Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout· 24%+ 80%
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?· ≈ December 31 54%
- Israel military action against Lebanon on...?· ≈ October 6 30%
- Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?· ≈ October 26 49%
- Will Russia target Kyiv on...?· ≈ October 31 84%
- Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?· ≈ October 31 100%
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. How to read prediction markets.