Next French Presidential Election
Current odds
one winner+ 114 more in the table below.
Odds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
128| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine Le Pen | 41% | -0.8 | $47K | $3.8M |
| David Lisnard | 18% | +2.2 | $189K | $3.8M |
| Édouard Philippe | 14% | -3.0 | $89K | $3.8M |
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 12% | +1.0 | $69K | $3.8M |
| Christine Lagarde | 4% | +1.8 | $344K | $3.8M |
| Jordan Bardella | 3% | — | $39K | $3.8M |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 2% | -0.6 | $36K | $3.8M |
| François Hollande | 2% | -0.5 | $19K | $3.8M |
| Gabriel Attal | 1% | +0.5 | $94K | $3.8M |
| Éric Zemmour | 1% | — | $14K | $3.8M |
| Dominique de Villepin | 1% | — | $86K | $3.8M |
| Bruno Retailleau | 1% | -0.5 | $36K | $3.8M |
| Sarah Knafo | 0% | — | $23K | $3.8M |
| François Baroin | 0% | — | $43K | $3.8M |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0% | — | $11K | $3.8M |
| Bernard Cazeneuve | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Xavier Bertrand | 0% | — | $6K | $3.8M |
| Marion Maréchal | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| François Ruffin | 0% | — | $8K | $3.8M |
| Gérald Darmanin | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Carole Delga | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| François Bayrou | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Mathilde Panot | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Michel Barnier | 0% | — | $34K | $3.8M |
| Nicolas Dupont-Aignan | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| François Asselineau | 0% | — | $8 | $3.8M |
| Clémence Guetté | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Élisabeth Borne | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Laurent Wauquiez | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Marine Tondelier | 0% | — | $10K | $3.8M |
| Jean Castex | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Olivier Faure | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Manuel Bompard | 0% | — | $3K | $3.8M |
| Clémentine Autain | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Fabien Roussel | 0% | — | $10K | $3.8M |
| Yaël Braun-Pivet | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Ségolène Royal | 0% | — | $7 | $3.8M |
| Valérie Pécresse | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Juan Branco | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Lucie Castets | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Anasse Kazib | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Karim Bouamrane | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Yannick Jadot | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Natacha Polony | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Sylvain Durif | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Other | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person N | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person P | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person R | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person T | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person V | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person X | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person Z | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AB | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AD | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AF | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AH | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AJ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AL | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AN | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AP | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AR | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AT | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AV | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AX | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AZ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BB | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BD | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BF | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BH | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BJ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BL | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BN | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BP | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BR | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BT | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BV | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BX | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BZ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CB | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CD | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CF | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CH | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CJ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CL | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CN | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CP | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person O | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person Q | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person S | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person U | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person W | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person Y | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AA | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AC | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AE | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AG | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AI | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AK | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AM | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AO | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AQ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AS | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AU | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AW | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person AY | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BA | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BC | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BE | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BG | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BI | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BK | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BM | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BO | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BQ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BS | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BU | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BW | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person BY | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CA | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CC | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CE | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CG | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CI | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CK | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CM | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CO | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
| Person CQ | 0% | — | $0 | $3.8M |
How it settles
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.