Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
50/50 line4%December 31
Line nearest 50/50
4%
Runner-up
0%
Biggest 24h move+1 pts
4%
24h volume
$18K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
7| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 4% | +1.1 | $18K | $606K |
| June 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $606K |
| January 31 | 0% | — | $0 | $606K |
| March 31 | 0% | — | $0 | $606K |
| February 28 | 0% | — | $0 | $606K |
| April 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $606K |
| May 31 | 0% | — | $0 | $606K |
How it settles
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.