| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
100% |
$120.7K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
19% |
$24.0K |
Jan 01, 2028 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
96% |
$20.1K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31? |
polymarket |
100% |
$16.9K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$14.6K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
1% |
$11.6K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
77% |
$9.1K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? |
polymarket |
7% |
$9.0K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by October 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
67% |
$8.3K |
Nov 30, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 15, 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$7.1K |
Dec 01, 2026 |
| Meta's Watermelon released by November 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
86% |
$6.8K |
Nov 30, 2026 |
| Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? |
polymarket |
1% |
$5.9K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? |
polymarket |
76% |
$5.6K |
Jan 01, 2028 |
| Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? |
polymarket |
24% |
$5.4K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? |
polymarket |
2% |
$5.3K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? |
polymarket |
18% |
$5.0K |
Dec 31, 2026 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
6% |
$4.5K |
Dec 01, 2026 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
26% |
$4.3K |
Jan 01, 2028 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
46% |
$4.2K |
Jan 01, 2028 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
6% |
$4.1K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? |
polymarket |
16% |
$3.8K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
2% |
$3.6K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
88% |
$3.6K |
Dec 01, 2026 |
| Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? |
polymarket |
18% |
$3.3K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
50% |
$2.8K |
Jan 01, 2028 |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? |
polymarket |
32% |
$2.8K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? |
polymarket |
88% |
$2.8K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| ByteDance matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? |
polymarket |
10% |
$2.7K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$2.5K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
1% |
$2.4K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
97% |
$2.4K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 14, 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$2.4K |
Oct 18, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? |
polymarket |
7% |
$2.4K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
17% |
$2.4K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? |
polymarket |
30% |
$2.3K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 15, 2026? |
polymarket |
48% |
$2.3K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
72% |
$2.3K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? |
polymarket |
44% |
$2.2K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
91% |
$2.2K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
24% |
$2.2K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? |
polymarket |
50% |
$2.2K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
11% |
$2.1K |
Jan 01, 2027 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? |
polymarket |
84% |
$2.1K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? |
polymarket |
74% |
$2.0K |
Jan 01, 2028 |
| Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$2.0K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
0% |
$1.9K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
82% |
$1.9K |
Nov 01, 2026 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? |
polymarket |
46% |
$1.8K |
Oct 01, 2026 |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? |
polymarket |
60% |
$1.7K |
Oct 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026? |
polymarket |
72% |
$1.7K |
Jan 01, 2027 |