K KalshiTech & AI

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026

8 outcomesSettles Nov 02, 2026 (2d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line74%Above 70.2%
Line nearest 50/50
74%
Above 70.2%
Market median
70.2%
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+13 pts
91%
Above 66.9%
24h volume
$10K
$12K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 52.6% 100%
Above 63.7% 98% +1
Above 55.8% 98%
Above 56.4% 98% +3
Above 60.5% 97% +6
Above 66.9% 91% +13
Above 68.5% 76% +3
Above 70.2% 74% +10

What the market expects

median 70.2%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 52.6%
    YES $4K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 56.4%
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 55.8%
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 66.9%
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 66.9%YES 89¢$1K
Above 56.4%YES 99¢$2K
Above 52.6%YES 99¢$2K
Above 55.8%YES 99¢$2K
Above 52.6%YES 99¢$2K

All outcomes

8
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 52.6% 100% — $4K $4K
Above 63.7% 98% +1.0 $261 $1K
Above 55.8% 98% — $2K $2K
Above 56.4% 98% +3.0 $2K $2K
Above 60.5% 97% +6.0 $141 $835
Above 66.9% 91% +13.0 $1K $2K
Above 68.5% 76% +3.0 $22 $234
Above 70.2% 74% +9.5 $531 $529

Same series