K KalshiTech & AI

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 30, 2026

9 outcomesSettles Oct 31, 2026 (0d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line49%Above 69.3%
Line nearest 50/50
49%
Above 69.3%
Market median
69.246%
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+6 pts
98%
Above 57.8%
24h volume
$13K
$20K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 56.1% 100% +1
Above 54.6% 99% +1
Above 57.8% 98% +6
Above 58.5% 98% +6
Above 62.2% 98%
Above 66.7% 97%
Above 69.3% 49% -37
Above 71.6% 4%
Above 73.8% 1% -6

What the market expects

median 69.246%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · hourly

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 56.1%
    YES $3K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 73.8%
    YES $0 · NO $3K · 2 orders · biggest $2K
  • Above 57.8%
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $1K
  • Above 54.6%
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Above 71.6%
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Above 58.5%
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Above 66.7%
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K
  • Above 62.2%
    YES $1K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 66.7%YES 99¢$1K
Above 71.6%NO 99¢$1K
Above 62.2%YES 99¢$1K
Above 58.5%YES 99¢$1K
Above 73.8%NO 99¢$1K
Above 57.8%YES 99¢$1K
Above 56.1%YES 99¢$2K
Above 54.6%YES 99¢$1K
Above 57.8%YES 96¢$1K
Above 56.1%YES 95¢$1K

All outcomes

9
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 56.1% 100% +1.0 $3K $4K
Above 54.6% 99% +1.0 $1K $2K
Above 57.8% 98% +6.0 $1K $4K
Above 58.5% 98% +6.0 $2K $2K
Above 62.2% 98% — $1K $1K
Above 66.7% 97% — $2K $2K
Above 69.3% 49% -37.0 $5 $29
Above 71.6% 4% — $1K $1K
Above 73.8% 1% -6.0 $1K $4K

Same series