P PolymarketTech & AI

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

74 outcomesSettles Jan 02, 2027 (62d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite54%SpaceX
Favorite
54%
SpaceX
Runner-up
44%
Anthropic
Biggest 24h move+3 pts
54%
SpaceX
24h volume
$40K
$46.8M open interest

Current odds

one winner
SpaceX 54% +3
Anthropic 44% -3
xAI 26%
OpenAI 0%
Stripe 0%
SHEIN 0%
Waymo 0%
Kraken 0%
Other 0%

+ 60 more in the table below.

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

74
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
SpaceX 54% +3.0 $12K $632K
Anthropic 44% -3.0 $22K $632K
xAI 26% — $0 $632K
OpenAI 0% — $5K $632K
ByteDance 0% — $0 $632K
Stripe 0% — $0 $632K
Databricks 0% — $0 $632K
SHEIN 0% — $0 $632K
Waymo 0% — $0 $632K
Revolut 0% — $0 $632K
Discord 0% — $0 $632K
Perplexity AI 0% — $0 $632K
Kraken 0% — $0 $632K
Other 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder A 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder B 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder C 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder D 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder E 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder F 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder G 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder H 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder I 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder J 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder K 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder L 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder M 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder N 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder O 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder P 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder Q 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder R 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder S 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder T 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder U 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder V 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder W 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder X 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder Y 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder Z 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AA 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AB 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AC 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AD 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AE 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AF 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AG 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AH 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AI 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AJ 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AK 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AL 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AM 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AN 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AO 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AP 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AQ 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AR 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AS 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AT 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AU 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AV 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AW 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AX 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AY 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder AZ 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BA 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BB 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BC 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BD 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BE 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BF 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BG 0% — $0 $632K
Placeholder BH 0% — $0 $632K

How it settles

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.