K KalshiTech & AI

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2027?

Settles Dec 31, 2026 (60d) All outcomes: Tesla Optimus released this year?

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Theme
Preview
chance of YES9% +4.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–25%
30d +100 pts · 7d -60 pts
24h volume
9.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
155.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
4¢ / 6¢
spread 2.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
4.0¢ 15,066 6.0¢ 101
3.0¢ 460 7.0¢ 87
2.0¢ 3,048 8.0¢ 354
1.0¢ 29,308 9.0¢ 222
10.0¢ 231

Mid 5.0¢ · spread 2.0¢

Related stocks

TSLA
Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO93¢ 1,580$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.