K KalshiTech & AI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

5 outcomesSettles Jan 20, 2029 (812d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line24%Before Jan 20, 2029
Line nearest 50/50
24%
Before Jan 20, 2029
Runner-up
16%
Before Jan 1, 2028
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$78K
$12.4M open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Before Jan 20, 2029 24%
Before Jan 1, 2028 16%
Before Jan 1, 2027 4%
Before Dec 1, 2026 2%
Before Nov 1, 2026 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Before Jan 1, 2027
    YES $2K · NO $109K · 22 orders · biggest $19K
  • Before Dec 1, 2026
    YES $3K · NO $23K · 6 orders · biggest $17K
  • Before Nov 1, 2026
    YES $0 · NO $20K · 6 orders · biggest $9K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$17K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$3K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$8K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$1K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$6K
Before Dec 1, 2026YES 4¢$1K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$1K
Before Jan 1, 2027YES 5¢$2K
Before Jan 1, 2027NO 95¢$2K
Before Dec 1, 2026NO 97¢$4K

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Before Jan 20, 2029 24% — $1K $353K
Before Jan 1, 2028 16% — $6K $597K
Before Jan 1, 2027 4% -0.5 $61K $9.4M
Before Dec 1, 2026 2% — $10K $473K
Before Nov 1, 2026 0% — $93 $1.5M