What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 12%, implying a 12% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before 2027

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 57.9K Open interest 9.4M Event Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

12%

implied YES probability

-1.1pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 25% · Low 11% · 7d -14.9pp · 30d -29.6pp

Spread 0.1¢ · Mid 11.6¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.