K KalshiTech & AI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 1, 2028?

Settles Jan 01, 2028 (427d) All outcomes: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

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chance of YES16%
Price range (120d)
11–19%
30d +14 pts · 7d +23 pts
24h volume
5.8K
$1 contracts
Open interest
596.9K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
13.0¢ 95,091 14.0¢ 12,101
12.0¢ 5,106 15.0¢ 23,424
11.0¢ 5,891 16.0¢ 24,088
10.0¢ 4,891 17.0¢ 6,022
9.0¢ 5,616 18.0¢ 2,550

Mid 13.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Before Jan 20, 202924%1.0K
Before Jan 1, 20274%58.5K
Before Dec 1, 20262%9.6K
Before Nov 1, 20261%93

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO87¢ 1,258$1K
NO86¢ 2,778$2K
NO86¢ 4,870$4K
NO86¢ 5,511$5K
NO85¢ 9,382$8K
YES16¢ 6,666$1K
YES15¢ 9,768$1K
NO87¢ 2,352$2K
YES14¢ 13,474$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.