What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

Before Jan 20, 2029

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (948d) 24h volume 5.5K Open interest 124.3K Event Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

28%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 35 days · High 39% · Low 23% · 7d -3.3pp · 30d -17.1pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 39.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.