K KalshiTech & AI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Jan 20, 2029?

Settles Jan 20, 2029 (812d) All outcomes: Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

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Preview
chance of YES24% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
18–25%
30d -4 pts · 7d +4 pts
24h volume
1.0K
$1 contracts
Open interest
353.4K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
19¢ / 20¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
19.0¢ 2,520 20.0¢ 673
18.0¢ 1,200 21.0¢ 124
17.0¢ 1,493 22.0¢ 630
16.0¢ 4,148 23.0¢ 2,061
15.0¢ 1,164 24.0¢ 1,001

Mid 19.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Before Jan 1, 202816%5.8K
Before Jan 1, 20274%58.5K
Before Dec 1, 20262%9.6K
Before Nov 1, 20261%93

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO78¢ 2,062$2K
YES23¢ 9,427$2K
YES22¢ 7,830$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.