Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before Dec 1, 2026?
chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–5%
24h volume
9.6K
Open interest
472.7K
Bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0¢ | 214,507 | 3.0¢ | 4,986 |
| 1.0¢ | 187,822 | 4.0¢ | 32,443 |
| 5.0¢ | 1,037 | ||
| 6.0¢ | 3,392 | ||
| 7.0¢ | 2,484 |
Mid 2.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 4¢ | 25,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 4,633 | $4K | |
| NO | 97¢ | 1,122 | $1K | |
| YES | 4¢ | 30,000 | $1K | |
| YES | 3¢ | 35,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 98¢ | 17,328 | $17K | |
| YES | 3¢ | 50,000 | $2K | |
| NO | 98¢ | 3,121 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.