P PolymarketTech & AI

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

10 outcomesSettles Dec 01, 2026 (30d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite58%Google
Favorite
58%
Google
Runner-up
32%
Anthropic
Biggest 24h move-13 pts
58%
Google
24h volume
$28K
$722K open interest

Current odds

one winner
Google 58% -13
Anthropic 32% +7
OpenAI 5% +3
Meta 1%
Z.ai 0%
Xiaomi 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

10
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Google 58% -13.0 $12K $72K
Anthropic 32% +7.0 $3K $72K
OpenAI 5% +2.6 $2K $72K
Meta 1% — $3K $72K
SpaceXAI 0% — $804 $72K
Z.ai 0% — $1K $72K
DeepSeek 0% — $2K $72K
Alibaba 0% — $804 $72K
Moonshot 0% — $2K $72K
Xiaomi 0% — $1K $72K

How it settles

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.