K KalshiTech & AI

Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?

Claude
Settles Dec 31, 2026 (85d) All outcomes: Best AI at the end of 2026?

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chance of YES48% -2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
49–75%
30d -19 pts · 7d -34 pts
24h volume
18.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
1.3M
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
48¢ / 48¢
spread 0.6¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
47.6¢ 161 48.2¢ 10
47.5¢ 44 48.5¢ 337
47.4¢ 141 48.6¢ 1,500
47.3¢ 1,660 48.7¢ 486
47.2¢ 2,000 49.0¢ 9

Mid 47.9¢ · spread 0.6¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Gemini39%19.0K
ChatGPT8%7.1K
Grok3%7.5K
Kimi0%3
Qwen0%8.2K
Ernie0%321

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO52¢ 2,161$1K
NO50¢ 2,483$1K
YES50¢ 2,500$1K
YES51¢ 2,092$1K
YES51¢ 2,719$1K
NO50¢ 5,940$3K
YES52¢ 2,289$1K
YES52¢ 2,500$1K
YES52¢ 3,637$2K
YES65¢ 2,898$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.