K KalshiTech & AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

8 outcomesSettles Dec 31, 2026 (85d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite48%Claude
Favorite
48%
Claude
Runner-up
39%
Gemini
Biggest 24h move+4 pts
39%
Gemini
24h volume
$70K
$7.5M open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

one winner
Claude 48% -3
Gemini 39% +4
ChatGPT 8%
Grok 3%
Muse Spark 1%
Kimi 0%
Qwen 0%
Ernie 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Gemini
    YES $40K · NO $61K · 48 orders · biggest $9K
  • Qwen
    YES $0 · NO $48K · 6 orders · biggest $29K
  • ChatGPT
    YES $0 · NO $45K · 15 orders · biggest $9K
  • Claude
    YES $26K · NO $17K · 20 orders · biggest $9K
  • Muse Spark
    YES $0 · NO $41K · 13 orders · biggest $11K
  • Ernie
    YES $0 · NO $13K · 2 orders · biggest $9K
  • Grok
    YES $0 · NO $9K · 4 orders · biggest $3K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
QwenNO 100¢$8K
ClaudeNO 52¢$1K
GrokNO 97¢$2K
ClaudeNO 50¢$1K
GeminiYES 36¢$1K
GeminiNO 63¢$1K
GeminiNO 63¢$2K
ClaudeYES 50¢$1K
QwenNO 100¢$2K
ChatGPTNO 91¢$4K

All outcomes

8
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Claude 48% -2.9 $19K $1.3M
Gemini 39% +4.0 $18K $1.2M
ChatGPT 8% — $8K $1.3M
Grok 3% — $10K $1.1M
Muse Spark 1% — $7K $864K
Kimi 0% — $187 $523K
Qwen 0% — $8K $638K
Ernie 0% — $319 $560K

Same series