K KalshiTech & AI

AI capability growth this year?

4 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (62d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line57%At least 1550 score
Line nearest 50/50
57%
At least 1550 score
Market median
1557.21score
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+10 pts
57%
At least 1550 score
24h volume
$5K
$38K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
At least 1550 score 57% +10
At least 1600 score 6%
At least 1650 score 2% -1
At least 1700 score 2%

What the market expects

median 1557.21score

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • At least 1540 score
    YES $61K · NO $0 · 11 orders · biggest $25K
  • At least 1550 score
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$3K
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$4K
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$2K
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$3K
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$5K
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$6K
At least 1540 scoreYES 99¢$8K
At least 1540 scoreYES 98¢$25K
At least 1540 scoreYES 98¢$3K
At least 1540 scoreYES 95¢$1K

All outcomes

4
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
At least 1550 score 57% +9.5 $2K $22K
At least 1600 score 6% — $3K $12K
At least 1650 score 2% -1.0 $22 $3K
At least 1700 score 2% — $17 $840