K KalshiTech & AI

Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (62d) All outcomes: AI capability growth this year?

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chance of YES57% +9.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
12–57%
30d +200 pts · 7d +119 pts
24h volume
1.7K
$1 contracts
Open interest
22.1K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
$3K
0% on YES

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

At least 1600 score6%3.4K
At least 1650 score2%22
At least 1700 score2%17

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO70¢ 1,736$1K
NO68¢ 1,890$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.