What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Science and Technology

At least 1600 score

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume 120 Open interest 7.5K Event AI capability growth this year?

16%

implied YES probability

-9.0pp 24h

Last 25 days · High 31% · Low 10% · 7d +40.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.