How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
50/50 line100%Above 10
Line nearest 50/50
100%
Market median
10.5
Biggest 24h move+13 pts
100%
24h volume
$35K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noWhat the market expects
median 10.5Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 11YES $0 · NO $16K · 9 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 9YES $5K · NO $0 · 4 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 8YES $4K · NO $0 · 2 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 12YES $0 · NO $3K · 1 orders · biggest $3K
- Above 14YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
- Above 10YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
- Above 16YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 9 | YES | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 11 | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 11 | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 11 | NO | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 11 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 11 | NO | 99¢ | $2K | |
| Above 9 | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 9 | YES | 99¢ | $1K | |
| Above 10 | NO | 26¢ | $1K | |
| Above 11 | NO | 99¢ | $3K |
All outcomes
6Same series
- How many launches will SpaceX have in November?≈ Above 9 64% · settles 2026-12-01
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?≈ Above 140 66% · settles 2027-01-01