K KalshiTech & AI

Above 10: How many launches will SpaceX have in Oct 2026?

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

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chance of YES100% +13.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
15–91%
30d +30 pts · 7d +14 pts
24h volume
8.4K
$1 contracts
Open interest
38.2K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
87¢ / 88¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
87.0¢ 4,486 88.0¢ 199
86.0¢ 147 89.0¢ 2,790
85.0¢ 5,016 90.0¢ 14
84.0¢ 209 91.0¢ 289
83.0¢ 3,696 92.0¢ 88

Mid 87.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 8100%369
Above 999%13.3K
Above 110%17.2K
Above 130%1.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO26¢ 4,115$1K
YES80¢ 2,465$2K
YES80¢ 3,802$3K
YES80¢ 1,500$1K
YES80¢ 2,000$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.