What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

chance of YES0% -1.0pp in 24h

Price range (120d)

1–29%

· 7d +100 pts

24h volume

935

$1 contracts

Open interest

39.8K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$13K

0% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 999%13.3K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 28, 3:45 AM ET	NO	99¢	3,211	$3K
Oct 21, 10:00 PM ET	NO	99¢	7,583	$8K
Oct 19, 1:02 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,324	$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.