What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

chance of YES0%

Price range (120d)

1–44%

30d -98 pts · 7d -75 pts

24h volume

17.2K

$1 contracts

Open interest

88.4K

contracts outstanding

Bid / ask

1¢ / 2¢

spread 1.0¢

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

top 5

Mid 1.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 999%13.3K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 30, 2:29 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,029	$1K
Oct 29, 10:52 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,146	$1K
Oct 29, 5:57 PM ET	NO	99¢	1,035	$1K
Oct 29, 3:59 PM ET	NO	99¢	2,519	$2K
Oct 29, 8:53 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,600	$2K
Oct 28, 2:34 PM ET	NO	99¢	3,474	$3K
Oct 27, 11:34 AM ET	NO	99¢	1,544	$2K
Oct 26, 2:01 AM ET	NO	99¢	2,035	$2K
Oct 24, 6:59 AM ET	NO	97¢	1,492	$1K
Oct 23, 11:49 AM ET	NO	97¢	1,171	$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.