What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

Settles Nov 01, 2026 (1d) All outcomes: How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

chance of YES100%

Price range (120d)

84–99%

· 7d +1 pts

24h volume

369

$1 contracts

Open interest

18.3K

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

$7K

100% on YES

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Above 999%13.3K

≥ $1K · 14 days

When	Side	Price	Contracts	Size
Oct 27, 7:22 PM ET	YES	99¢	2,051	$2K
Oct 27, 10:04 AM ET	YES	99¢	2,000	$2K
Oct 23, 6:49 PM ET	YES	99¢	3,079	$3K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.