P PolymarketTech & AI

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

6 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (61d)

Embed these odds

Paste this into any web page or blog post. The odds refresh every minute.

Theme
Preview
50/50 line66%60%+
Line nearest 50/50
66%
60%+
Runner-up
66%
60%+
Biggest 24h move+8 pts
66%
60%+
24h volume
$4K
$149K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
58%+ 85% -2
60%+ 66% +8
65%+ 24% +3
75%+ 6% -2
80%+ 5%
90%+ 5%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

6
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
58%+ 85% -1.5 $100 $25K
60%+ 66% +8.0 $3K $25K
65%+ 24% +3.0 $615 $25K
75%+ 6% -2.5 $189 $25K
80%+ 5% +0.5 $73 $25K
90%+ 5% — $24 $25K

How it settles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.