P PolymarketTech & AI

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

12 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (61d)

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50/50 line18%Seattle, WA
Line nearest 50/50
18%
Seattle, WA
Runner-up
18%
Seattle, WA
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$2K
$222K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

12
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Denver, CO 88% +4.2 $40 $18K
Seattle, WA 18% +7.3 $75 $19K
Chicago, IL 12% +1.5 $165 $19K
Baltimore, MD 10% +1.2 $260 $19K
Charlotte, NC 9% +3.1 $280 $19K
Portland, OR 9% +1.5 $45 $19K
Sacramento, CA 8% -1.0 $98 $19K
London, UK 7% — $40 $19K
Philadelphia, PA 6% +0.5 $41 $18K
Washington, DC 6% +0.8 $92 $19K
New York, NY 5% -1.5 $236 $19K
Pittsburgh, PA 5% — $388 $19K

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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