P PolymarketTech & AI

Will Waymo launch in New York, NY by December 31 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (61d) All outcomes: Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

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chance of YES5% -1.3pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–35%
30d -2 pts · 7d +71 pts
24h volume
$236
USDC traded
Open interest
$18.6K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

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How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.