K KalshiTech & AI

Measles cases in 2026?

5 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (61d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line50%Above 7000
Line nearest 50/50
50%
Above 7000
Market median
6983.61
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+6 pts
80%
Above 6000
24h volume
$14K
$172K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above 6000 80% +6
Above 7000 50% +4

What the market expects

median 6983.61

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above 10000
    YES $0 · NO $8K · 2 orders · biggest $7K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above 10000NO 94¢$7K
Above 10000NO 92¢$1K

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above 6000 80% +6.0 $3K $70K
Above 7000 50% +4.5 $216 $3K
Above 8000 18% — $1K $55K
Above 9000 8% +6.0 $85 $577
Above 10000 6% -1.0 $9K $44K