French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Current odds
one winnerOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
12| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Mélenchon | 36% | -2.0 | $876 | $9K |
| Édouard Philippe | 28% | +1.0 | $467 | $9K |
| David Lisnard | 17% | — | $220 | $9K |
| Raphaël Glucksmann | 8% | -1.5 | $204 | $9K |
| Marine Le Pen | 8% | — | $224 | $9K |
| Christine Lagarde | 4% | +2.6 | $234 | $9K |
| François Hollande | 3% | — | $212 | $9K |
| Bruno Retailleau | 3% | +1.5 | $204 | $9K |
| Jordan Bardella | 1% | — | $366 | $9K |
| Gabriel Attal | 0% | — | $185 | $9K |
| Dominique de Villepin | 0% | — | $185 | $9K |
| Sébastien Lecornu | 0% | — | $185 | $9K |
How it settles
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.