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Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Settles Jan 01, 2027 (73d) All outcomes: Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

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Preview
chance of YES5% +2.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–5%
30d -20 pts · 7d +31 pts
24h volume
$13.0K
USDC traded
Open interest
$31.5K
contracts outstanding
Large orders (14d)
—
none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.

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