Next Israeli government formed by...?
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
4| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 64% | +1.5 | $592 | $21K |
| February 28, 2027 | 43% | -5.5 | $8K | $21K |
| December 31, 2026 | 23% | -14.5 | $7K | $21K |
| November 30, 2026 | 10% | -3.0 | $5K | $21K |
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.