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Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

3 outcomesSettles Jan 01, 2027 (61d)

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line7%December 31
Line nearest 50/50
7%
December 31
Runner-up
0%
June 30
Biggest 24h move
—
odds steady over the last day
24h volume
$2K
$377K open interest

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

3
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
December 31 7% — $2K $126K
June 30 0% — $0 $126K
September 30 0% — $0 $126K

How it settles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.