Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noOdds over time
dailyDaily closing odds for the leading outcomes.
All outcomes
3| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 7% | — | $2K | $126K |
| June 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $126K |
| September 30 | 0% | — | $0 | $126K |
How it settles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Salman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Salman and the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.