Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market is currently pricing in a 10% probability that Volodymyr Zelenskyy will cease to be President of Ukraine by the end of 2026. This assessment is informed by known facts such as Zelenskyy's current term as president, which began in 2019 and would normally conclude in 2024. However, it is possible that he may seek re-election or extension of his term, which could impact the market price. Any announcement of Zelenskyy's resignation or removal before the end of 2026 would immediately resolve the market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced change takes effect. Changes in Zelenskyy's political situation, such as a loss of popularity or internal party conflicts, could potentially drive the price up if investors believe his departure is more likely. Conversely, any signs of stability or increased support for Zelenskyy could lead to a decrease in the market price.