K KalshiEconomy & Fed

CPI in November

7 outcomesSettles Dec 10, 2026 (40d) Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line54%Above 0.2%
Line nearest 50/50
54%
Above 0.2%
Market median
0.214%
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+7 pts
92%
Above 0.0%
24h volume
$4K
$40K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above -0.1% 92%
Above 0.0% 92% +7
Above 0.1% 68% -4
Above 0.2% 54% +11
Above 0.3% 29% +5
Above 0.4% 16% -2
Above 0.5% 12%

What the market expects

median 0.214%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • Above -0.1%
    YES $7K · NO $0 · 3 orders · biggest $3K
  • Above 0.1%
    YES $2K · NO $0 · 1 orders · biggest $2K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
Above -0.1%YES 91¢$2K
Above -0.1%YES 91¢$2K
Above -0.1%YES 87¢$3K
Above 0.1%YES 61¢$2K

All outcomes

7
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above -0.1% 92% — $5 $8K
Above 0.0% 92% +7.0 $3K $3K
Above 0.1% 68% -4.0 $1K $5K
Above 0.2% 54% +11.0 $268 $5K
Above 0.3% 29% +5.0 $130 $3K
Above 0.4% 16% -2.0 $14 $11K
Above 0.5% 12% — $124 $5K

Same series