K KalshiEconomy & Fed

CPI in December

5 outcomesSettles Jan 13, 2027 (74d) Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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Theme
Preview
50/50 line59%Above 0.2%
Line nearest 50/50
59%
Above 0.2%
Market median
0.259%
even odds of landing above or below
Biggest 24h move+2 pts
13%
Above 0.5%
24h volume
$3K
$25K open interest · $1 contracts

Current odds

ladder — each rung is its own yes/no
Above -0.1% 94%
Above 0.0% 88% +10
Above 0.2% 59% -3
Above 0.5% 13% +2
Above 0.9% 4% +2

What the market expects

median 0.259%

Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.

Odds over time

rungs nearest 50/50 · daily

Where the large orders went

7 days · ≥ $1K
  • In Dec 2026
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • In Dec 2026
    YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
  • In Dec 2026
    YES $0 · NO $1K · 1 orders · biggest $1K

Recent large orders

WhenOutcomeSidePriceSize
In Dec 2026NO 88¢$2K
In Dec 2026NO 69¢$2K
In Dec 2026NO 58¢$1K

All outcomes

5
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
Above -0.1% 94% — $20 $4K
Above 0.0% 88% +10.0 $20 $4K
Above 0.2% 59% -3.0 $1 $2K
Above 0.5% 13% +2.0 $645 $8K
Above 0.9% 4% +2.0 $3K $7K

Same series