CPI in October
50/50 line57%Above 0.2%
Line nearest 50/50
57%
Market median
0.217%
Biggest 24h move-7 pts
87%
24h volume
$8K
Current odds
ladder — each rung is its own yes/noAbove -0.1%
98%
Above 0.1%
87%
-7
Above 0.2%
57%
-5
Above 0.3%
17%
+1
Above 0.4%
6%
+2
Above 0.6%
2%
What the market expects
median 0.217%Chance of landing in each range, from the difference between neighbouring "above" rungs.
Odds over time
rungs nearest 50/50 · dailyWhere the large orders went
7 days · ≥ $1K- Above 0.4%YES $0 · NO $2K · 1 orders · biggest $2K
Recent large orders
| When | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 0.4% | NO | 95¢ | $2K |
All outcomes
6| Outcome | Odds | 24h change | 24h volume | Open interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.1% | 98% | — | $104 | $5K |
| Above 0.1% | 87% | -7.0 | $2K | $107K |
| Above 0.2% | 57% | -5.0 | $4K | $185K |
| Above 0.3% | 17% | +1.0 | $336 | $35K |
| Above 0.4% | 6% | +1.5 | $1K | $43K |
| Above 0.6% | 2% | -0.5 | $196 | $8K |
Same series
- CPI in November≈ Above 0.2% 54% · settles 2026-12-10
- CPI in December≈ Above 0.2% 59% · settles 2027-01-13