K KalshiEconomy & Fed

Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in October 2026?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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Preview
chance of YES6% +1.5pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
1–53%
30d -25 pts · 7d -25 pts
24h volume
1.2K
$1 contracts
Open interest
42.9K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
11¢ / 16¢
spread 5.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
11.0¢ 1 16.0¢ 5
8.0¢ 61 18.0¢ 20
7.0¢ 1,756 19.0¢ 35
6.0¢ 200 20.0¢ 37
4.0¢ 900 21.0¢ 399

Mid 13.5¢ · spread 5.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above -0.1%98%104
Above 0.1%87%2.4K
Above 0.2%57%3.8K
Above 0.3%17%336
Above 0.6%2%196

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO95¢ 2,528$2K
NO87¢ 1,591$1K
NO92¢ 3,008$3K
NO98¢ 2,341$2K
NO95¢ 1,710$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.