Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in October 2026?

Settles Nov 10, 2026 (10d) All outcomes: CPI in October Fed Watch — inflation & jobs data

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chance of YES17%
Price range (120d)
7–79%
30d -44 pts · 7d -22 pts
24h volume
336
$1 contracts
Open interest
34.6K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
19¢ / 23¢
spread 4.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
19.0¢ 9,006 23.0¢ 344
18.0¢ 147 24.0¢ 290
17.0¢ 500 35.0¢ 500
14.0¢ 114 71.0¢ 150
13.0¢ 1,047 72.0¢ 30

Mid 21.0¢ · spread 4.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Above 0.1%87%2.4K
Above 0.2%57%3.8K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO72¢ 2,386$2K
NO74¢ 1,528$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.