P PolymarketEconomy & Fed

October Inflation US - Annual

12 outcomesSettles Nov 11, 2026 (10d)

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Theme
Preview
Favorite91%3.7%
Favorite
91%
3.7%
Runner-up
4%
3.8%
Biggest 24h move+2 pts
91%
3.7%
24h volume
$4K
$66K open interest

Current odds

one winner
3.7% 91% +2
3.8% 4%
4.0% 2%
3.9% 2%
3.6% 1%
3.5% 1%
4.2% 1%
3.4% 0%
4.1% 0%
3.3% 0%

Odds over time

daily

Daily closing odds for the leading outcomes.

All outcomes

12
OutcomeOdds24h change24h volumeOpen interest
3.7% 91% +1.5 $2K $6K
3.8% 4% — $358 $6K
4.0% 2% — $116 $6K
3.9% 2% — $166 $6K
3.6% 1% — $392 $6K
3.5% 1% — $116 $6K
≥4.3% 1% — $221 $6K
4.2% 1% -0.5 $116 $6K
3.4% 0% — $194 $6K
4.1% 0% -0.5 $115 $6K
3.3% 0% — $138 $6K
≤3.2% 0% — $117 $6K

How it settles

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Odds are market prices, not forecasts or advice. Full terms on Polymarket.